Interesting but probably meaningless

August 30th, 2010 | Tags: , ,

Geopolitical intelligence firm Stratfor has picked up rumors that PBOC head Zhou has defected.

While that would be very interesting news and a story that would likely make a good novel, it won’t likely change Chinese monetary policy very much, if at all.

Stratfor concludes that Zhou was under pressure for loses suffered in US Treasuries. Exactly how China could have lost much in Treasuries is a mystery…They are within a fraction of their all-time highs in terms of price right now…

It will likely add to the risk-averse mood until the dust settles, however.


  1. JJake
    August 30th, 2010 at 18:18
    Reply | Quote | #1

    Aziz, my friend, are you online???

  2. Ping
    August 30th, 2010 at 18:47
    Reply | Quote | #2

    And the rumor is PBoC lost $430 billion on US Fannie and Freddie GSE bonds. Total nonsense, if you ask me.

  3. Jamie Coleman
    August 30th, 2010 at 19:24
    Reply | Quote | #3

    Not possible the amounts is $430 bln. Their total treasury holding are something like $830 bln…I assume it is a typo…

  4. pandu
    August 30th, 2010 at 20:02
    Reply | Quote | #4

    Looks like the rumour mongering and rebuttals are power games within the upper echelons of the Chinese leadership. No connection with markets, at least so far. Btw, the article says he lost $430 BILLION – almost half a trillion!

  5. Jamie Coleman
    August 30th, 2010 at 20:21
    Reply | Quote | #5

    Thanks Ping!

  6. Ping
    August 30th, 2010 at 21:03
    Reply | Quote | #6

    Zhou appeared on local TV tonight. A subtle rebuttal. They’re smart, aren’t they?

  7. Annie
    August 30th, 2010 at 21:34
    Reply | Quote | #7

    Maybe they’re figuring he shouldn’t have sold them and didn’t they buy Greek paper?